Showing posts with label France. Show all posts
Showing posts with label France. Show all posts

Sunday, March 23, 2014

Countdown to Brazil: Off The Post

77 Days Until The 2014 FIFA World Cup: USA and Mexico Disappoint


With each day that passes, we are getting closer and closer to the start of the greatest sporting event in the world.  It's been a while since our last post, but hey, we aren't the only ones slacking here...after all, it was recently announced that Porto Alegre may not finish its stadium in time for the tournament!  Things surrounding the beautiful game take time, except for the rate at which Cuauahtemoc Blanco ages.  Also, we've added a fourth contributor to our weekly posts... Fernando Gireud is an ardent fan of El Tri, and while that may be a treacherous personal trait, he knows a ton about the game, having played and followed the sport far longer than Tito has been rocking a jerry curl (which really is a considerable amount of time).  He should prove to be an excellent foil to my anti-El Tri rants that are only inspired by my love for the Red, White, and Blue.  To keep you from waiting any longer, lets get into this week's topics.

1. The United States and Mexico both underwhelmed dramatically in their most recent friendlies.  Given their performances, which country has more to worry about right now?

Garrett:  There is no doubt that the performances of both teams left much to be desired. That being said, it's clear that Mexico has more to worry about at this stage of the game. Jurgen Klinsmann was missing a slew of important starters for the game in Cyprus. Both center backs, Omar Gonzales and Matt Besler, did not make the trip, and their value was proven immediately when Oguchi Onyewu and John Anthony Brooks conceded an easy goal. Also missing was Landon Donovan, whose importance needs no description.  The most notable absentee though was Michael Bradley, the engine of the midfield. Sam's Army is a completely different unit when he is on the pitch, and he is the one cog in the machine that you cannot afford to lose.

Contrast that with Mexico, who had just about every player available to them for their match in Atlanta, and yet they still performed poorly. Furthermore, they were familiar with their opponent, as this was their second time playing Nigeria in the past year! Even though Miguel Herrera has had more time on the job, it's evident that he has not come anywhere near fixing the problems that plagued Mexico in qualifying. They still fail to play as a team, lack creativity and purpose when going forward, and are led by a center back who is so far past his prime that even Fernando could probably juke him.

Don't get me wrong, the result in Cyprus still caused a bit of concern for me as a USMNT supporter, but our problems are nowhere near as large as Mexico's.

Kyle: Both teams played poorly, but I think Mexico has more problems given their fans' expectations. Since 1986, Mexico has qualified out of the World Cup group stage every time (did not participate in 1990 due to a World Cup ban) and their supporters will be expecting the same thing in 2014. I believe most U.S. supporters will be thrilled to qualify from the most difficult World Cup Group.

I believe Mexico's biggest problem is their defense and its lack of pace. It may be odd to criticize the defense after a 0-0 tie, but the Nigerians had some good goal scoring chances that should have been converted to goals. Rafa Marquez, 35, is too slow to cope with speedy attackers and he has already been named as a starter and the team's captain. Positioning and experience can help an older player like Marquez compensate for a lack of speed. In the first half against Nigeria, Mexico was turning the ball over far too often and it led to counterattacks which exposed Marquez and his fellow lead-footed defenders. Additionally, Marquez was not distributing the ball well from defense. He is a skilled player that is capable of making difficult 40 yard passes, but in my opinion, he tries to complete those passes more often than is effective. Diego Reyes is probably the fastest central defender for Mexico, but he probably won't start since he is playing for Porto's B team. He is a young, talented defender but it seemed the game play was too fast for him. Unfortunately for Miguel Herrera, he isn't going to be able to make his defensive line faster for the World Cup.

I'm not as concerned about Mexico's offense. I think Oribe Peralta is a quality forward who can score in the World Cup. Also, Gio Dos Santos was injured and didn't make the game. He is a quality playmaker who can make defense splitting passes, dribble by defenders, and score goals.

If Mexico can't fix or minimize their defensive problems, it will be very difficult for them to make it out of their group.


Tito: I began watching the Ukraine vs. US game with an analytic eye and ended up just shaking my head in disappointment. Seeing "Gooch" start at center back for the Red, White, and Blue made me understand that his name is a double meaning (check out urban dictionary to catch my drift); with him in the back I already felt like US was in an uphill climb. The exposure on the defense was evident, as much as I root for Castillo (considering I played against him), he kept getting caught out of position and not quick enough to handle the counter attack, or 1v1 defending for that matter. Dempsey was careless, lost, and had on his normal IDGAF face. Granted, there were glimmers of hope and a couple of minutes of strong play. They just were lacking a few clutch players (as my colleagues have recently mentioned).

Despite giving the US a hard time about how their game went, I really think that Mexico has much more to worry about for this WC showing. Their play was incredibly bad, lacking order, didn't show any sign of zeal, and their defense... OMG their defense is the worst I've ever seen. The fact that they had to bring back Rafa Marquez, who in his prime was impressively good (even got accolades while playing at Barcelona), is a sign that they don't trust any of their current defenders; like the one below. Mr. Huiqi plays just as good as the host from "Tales from the Crypt," and even kind of looks like him.
 

The creativity that the attack used to have seems to be lacking any ingenuity. They look like a passion-less team. The Mexican crowd is ruthless and they'll let their players know when they feel misrepresented. I have a feeling that they might be on track to have a showing a la France 2010. I am however, holding out a little until the little showing between USA and Mexico in Glendale April 2nd.

Fernando:  The performances of both national teams was disappointing given the fact that this is the last official FIFA date available to all the players. That being said, the biggest disappointment was by far Mexico.

As a strong supporter of the Mexican National Team, seeing the team in such a state of disarray so close to the World Cup is troubling. Although I understand the reason that "El Piojo" Herrera has brought on Rafa Marquez, this is reminiscent of Javier Aguirre bringing Cuauhtemoc Blanco to the 2010 World Cup. Both Marquez and Blanco were brought back to the team during a time where the national team was lacking character and leadership. Except there's one thing missing from this equation. Blanco was not a defensive liability. Sure he was a shell of himself when he was on the field, but he was still able to get a free kick in a dangerous situation, or create a dangerous play every once in a while. All of these plays came on the attacking half of the field. Marquez on the other hand is slow. Very slow. When you're on defense, this is a recipe for disaster. Garrett, you're right, I would be able to juke him. Nigeria was able to run past him countless times and it's not going to get much easier when facing the speedy Brazilian and Cameroon forwards.

Mexico also has other problems all over the field.  European players such as Andres Guardado and Javier "Chicharito" Hernandez are not responding well in either club or country. Guardado was recently sent on loan to Bayer Leverkusen after he failed to break into the Valencia starting XI. Both Chicharito and Guardado are struggling to find meaningful playing time and are having a hard time winning the trust of their coaches. This was also supposed to be an opportunity for Gio Dos Santos to rejoin the Mexican National Team under Herrera and demonstrate the ability he's been showcasing at Villarreal. However, due to injury, Gio Dos Santos was not able to make the trip.

There are a few bright spots though. Oribe Peralta demonstrated once again that he should be one of the starters come World Cup time. Guillermo Ochoa also made the argument that he should be in the running for starting goalkeeper after his performance against Nigeria.

All in all, the Mexican National Team is in for a very short run at the World Cup unless they are able to fix their positioning, personnel, and attitude before the World Cup. That's a lot of issues.


2.  The USMNT and El Tri weren't the only ones partaking in friendly action, as nearly every World Cup team also took the pitch.  Which teams and performances stood out to you most?

Garrett:  Belgium's game against Cote d'Ivoire provided one of the more intriguing matchups among the friendlies that contained two World Cup teams.  The matchup provided important opportunities for both teams: for Cote d'Ivoire, it allowed them to gauge where they stood against one of the World Cup favorites; for Belgium, it gave them an opportunity to get back on track against a good team that they should beat, after a string of uninspiring results (home losses to both Japan and Colombia).  When the final whistle blew with both teams level on two goals, we were still left with some questions about both teams.  Belgium was able to jump out to a 2-0 lead, but Cote d'Ivoire controlled possession, and conceding two goals in the final fifteen minutes of the game has to cause some to ponder if this team lacks focus or a "killer instinct" due to its youth, even if this was just a friendly.  Conversely, Cote d'Ivoire has to be proud of themselves for fighting back the way they did, but falling into such a hole has to be worrisome when you take into account how difficult it is to erase a deficit in a World Cup, where the level of focus and emphasis on defense is much higher.


All things considered, the game really didn't provide us any new information.  Belgium is still likely to win its group, yet you can't have any confidence in predicting how this team will perform against quality opposition in the knockout rounds.  Predicting the winner of Cote d'Ivoire's group is still a crapshoot after Falcao's injury, as Didier Drogba and Co. failed to announce themselves as favorites to come out of Group C on top.  

Kyle: I was able to watch some of the Chile-Germany game and I was very impressed with Chile even though they lost 1-0. The game was played against Germany's first team in Stuttgart, but Chile was the attacking team. Chile presses high up the field and plays a fast paced attacking style that can leave them vulnerable to a counterattack. In their loss to Germany, Chile demonstrated they can play that same style in a hostile environment and compete with one of the best teams in the world.

Make it a point to watch Chile play this World Cup. Chile were last held scoreless at Peru early last year (12 games prior) and during that span of games beat England 2-0 at Wembley Stadium. This is a team which attacks and scores. Chile fields well known world class players like Arturo Vidal (Juventus) and Alexis Sanchez (Barcelona) and have hard working players such as Gary Medel. They are in a very difficult group with Spain, the Netherlands, and Australia, but I like them to qualify as the second team from the group and face Brazil in a replay of the 2010 World Cup knockout round.

Tito: During this set of international friendlies, I was really looking forward to seeing the teams that make up Group G. Although the games like Spain v Italy (to watch good soccer), Colombia v Tunisia (to see the front line without Falcao), and England v Denmark (because I like watching the Brits squirm), were incredibly appealing, I did want to focus on the probability of the United States advancing. As Kyle already discussed the German game, and Fernando broke down the Portugal thrashing... I want to discuss the game that the Black Stars signed up to play. Ghana sent a strong side to Montenegro in order to get a good team play just a few months before the World Cup. The likes of Asamoah, Essien, and Ayew were sent to represent their country. 

Within the first minute, Ghana's left side of the defense was exposed by Montenegro. Montenegro was able to get a penalty kick due to a filtered pass and a tackle inside the box. Once the game settled, Ghana did show to be the more dominant team infiltrating the Montenegro defense on many occasions. Furthermore, the physical nature of Ghana was far superior to that of the home side. Both teams did have their chances, but I would say that Ghana's defense seems to be the weakest part of their team. Although they didn't score (on a very defensive side), their pace and very direct tactics can cause problems for those in Group G. The speed that Ghana possesses will wreak havoc on slower defensive players (Gooch, Castillo, Besler, etc). African teams, especially in the more recent World Cups, have been breaking ground and getting into the deeper parts of the tournament. This Ghana team is said to be the best team coming out of Africa and should definitely be seen as a team that can do well if disregarded. USA will have a tough task, but making sure that they establish a slower paced game, one with possession, player positioning, and ball movement, will stifle Ghana's need for explosion and directness. 

Fernando: Although I'm not as concerned as Garrett, the result in the USA v. Ukraine game brought back memories of problems the US has faced before.

First, I want to point out that Klinsmann is a great coach and motivator and has proven throughout his tenure as the USMNT coach that he is able to bring in the appropriate players at the right time and during the most pressing situations. Taking into account the circumstances surrounding the USA v. Ukraine game, I think the USMNT was able to respond well during a time of uncertainty and chaos.  Going from canceling the game last minute, to traveling to Cyprus to play a friendly, was difficult enough.

However, there is cause for concern in what has typically been the U.S.'s achilles heal, the forwards. Clint Dempsey is still trying to find his form with Seattle Sounders and his most recent loan to Fulham didn't do much to reinforce his reputation as one of the USMNT's best players. Jozy Altidore is also struggling to find his form as he continues to try and earn a consistent place on Sunderland's starting XI. Come World Cup time, I have full faith that Klinsmann will have this sorted out and be able to bring out the best in the USMNT.

The other game that comes to my attention is the Portugal v. Cameroon game. Both teams are World Cup bound, but I felt that Portugal made the greatest statement. The USMNT already knew it was going to have a tough time containing Cristiano Ronaldo, but Portugal's recent 5-1 thrashing of Cameroon should have served as a wake up call if they weren't already aware of the power that Portugal would be bringing to Brazil. Many people have predicted that the key to the USMNT's success at the World Cup would be the game against Portugal, and I agree. I believe the U.S. will get past Ghana in the first game but will be overmatched against Germany in the last group game. Unfortunately for the U.S., Portugal demonstrated that other players besides Ronaldo can score and this came from the likes of defenders as well as midfielders.  If the U.S. has any chance of making it into the second round, I believe that beating Portugal is key.

3.  It seems that no one is talking about the African or Asian teams ahead of this year's tournament.  Which team from these confederations are you most looking forward to watching this summer?

Garrett: Considering what happened in last year's Confederations Cup, I'm really looking forward to seeing if Japan can continue to bounce back from their dismal showing in Brazil.  The Samurai Blue were always going to be underdogs last summer after being paired with Brazil, Italy, and Mexico in the group stage. Yet no one could foresee the defensive collapse the Japanese endured as they failed to attain any points in the group.  Though their last two games against Italy and Mexico were close, entertaining contests, Alberto Zaccheroni's men conceded nine goals over their three games, a stunning average of three per game.


Since then, Japan has been on a roll, garnering a very impressive string of results in friendlies.  Wins against Ghana and Belgium, two very formidable opponents, and a draw against the Dutch (2010 World Cup runner ups) showed that this team is capable of hanging with, and beating some of the world's best teams.  They have world class attacking talent in AC Milan man Keisuke Honda, and Shinji Kagawa, who can still impress for his country despite David Moyes not favoring him in Manchester.  Given Falcao's injury for Colombia, Honda and Kagawa have a very good chance at firing their country to winning Group C.  It all just depends on which back line shows up for the Samurai Blue in Brazil...

Kyle: In order to provide some variety, I'll select Ghana. In general, I enjoy watching both the Asian teams with their focus on passing, running, and playing as a collective unit as well as African teams' joy, individual brilliance, and attacking flair. Although I don't want Ghana to do well, they have the talent to survive The Group of Death.

The Black Stars have impressed in the past two World Cups where they eliminated the U.S. on both occasions. In 2006, Ghana lost in the Round of 16 to Brazil and in 2010 were eliminated in the quarterfinals by Uruguay. In the infamous Luis Suarez handball game, Ghana was on the verge of qualifying to the semifinals when Suarez stopped a definite goal late in extra-time by using his hand, Asamoah Gyan missed the ensuing penalty, and Ghana lost in a penalty in shootout. Ghana's players have recent World Cup knockout experience which is more than can be said for the other African or Asian teams.

In addition to their World Cup experience, Ghana's players ply their trade with top football clubs. For example, Sulley Muntari (AC Milan), Kwadwoh Asamoah (Juventus), Michael Essien (AC Milan), and Kevin Prince Boateng (Schalke) all play for Champions League teams. Ghanaian players are also found playing in France, Belgium, and Greece. The Black Stars are accustomed to training with elite players and playing in high pressure games. Given their history and talent, I think Ghana will embrace their underdog status and play quality soccer in Brazil.

TitoGroup B.. incredible Group B... upon a quick glance of the group you automatically think Spain and Netherlands will advance. Then you start to dive into how Chile is a very capable team and could upset one of those big two. Then you look at the fourth team and just shake your head.... you think... poor 'Roos.... they've been put in a stacked group! Australian soccer has come a long way. This will be their 4th appearance in a WC, their third in a row as they made it to the Round of 16 in 2006 and failed to get out of group play in 2010. 2014 seems like it will be a repeat of 2010, but I am really looking to them to mix some stuff up in that group.... Get a win here, a tie there. I want Australia to hold their own. 

Compared to the "Big Teams," the Socceroos have found some difficult times, losing to Brazil and to France quite heavily late in 2013. But they also beat Canada 3-0 and Costa Rica 1-0, and being from CONCACAF, I can honestly say that these last two teams aren't too bad. Do I expect them to come of the group? No. But do I want them to? Also, no. I am rooting for Spain and Chile... I just want the Aussies to get third and finish ahead of those damn Dutch!

Fernando: The team I'm looking forward to watching is Cote d'Ivoire. This team has come into the last two world cups as the strongest team out of the African Continent and one of the favorites to advance far in the tournament. Unfortunately for them, they have also crashed out in the group stages after having to face two powerhouse teams. In 2006, they faced Argentina and Netherlands while in 2010, they faced Portugal and Brazil. This shouldn't be an excuse due to the fact that if you're considered a top team, you should be able to compete and beat other top teams. This unfortunately wasn't the case.

The reason I'm so intrigued by this years team is because of the fact that this is certainly the end of Cote d'Ivoire's golden generation. Players such as Kolo Toure (32), Yaya Toure (30), and Didier Drogba (36), are all nearing the end of their career. While they have become great players for both club and country, the team has not been able to succeed outside of Africa. This most likely will be the last chance for the golden generation of Cote d'Ivoire.


4. "Throwback Thursday" and "Flashback Friday" seem to be all the rage amongst the kids these days on social media, so lets end this week's edition with a look back to the past.  Which game, individual performance, or goal comes to your mind when you think about the World Cup?

Garrett: The USMNT's run in the 2002 World Cup may have solidified my love of this great game, but nothing epitomizes what the World Cup is about than Zidane's performance in Germany in 2006.  No individual performance provided so many incredible stories from so many different angles.

Before the tournament had even begun the narratives were already beginning to unfold. Zidane, at the urging of manger Raymond Domenech, came out of international retirement to rescue France in the qualification stage and seal their ticket to Germany.  He then set the tone for the entire summer by announcing that he would retire from the game altogether at the end of the World Cup.  Zidane would always be a national hero for leading France to victory on home soil in the 1998 World Cup, and one of the game's greats for his performances for both country and club.  Yet by announcing his retirement before the tournament began, it provided him one last opportunity to seal his place in history.  Boy did he ever, in more ways than one.

After barely escaping the group by beating Togo 2-0 in the final game (where Zidane had to watch from the sidelines due to suspension), Zizou led France to a 2-1 comeback victory over Spain in the Round of 16. While Zidane did play well in that game, it wouldn't come anywhere close to the display he put on against Brazil in the quarterfinals.  The Selecao were defending champions, and heavy favorites against the French despite both being two of the world's best teams.  Yet this Brazilian team was absolutely loaded.  They may now be shells of what they once were, but Brazil's 2006 squad was led by Ronaldinho and Kaka, arguably the two best players in the world at the time.  Throw in a formidable center back pairing of Lucio and Juan, and veteran leaders like Roberto Carlos, Cafu, and Ronaldo, and it's clear why this team was favored to win it all.  But none of this mattered to Zidane...

What Zidane did to Brazil that night in Frankfurt will be remembered for ages.  At the age of 34, he was at the death of his career, and his physical abilities had started to fade, as they do for every aging athlete.  Despite not having the speed and power he once possessed, Zidane still controlled the game from the middle of the pitch.  Every touch on the ball was simple, and filled with beauty and grace.  It often times looked like Brazil players where sprinting all about the pitch in pursuit of Zidane, who was just taking a leisurely stroll in the park.  He single-handedly ruined the Selecao midfield. Just about every set piece threatened Brazil's net, not to mention the game-winning delivery he provided Thierry Henry early in the second half.  I could go on and on about this performance, but you only need to watch the video below to see for yourself.


Though that performance against Brazil was arguably the masterpiece of his career (which is really saying something when taking into account he scored the first two goals of the 1998 World Cup Final), Zidane's performance at the 2006 World Cup will always be remembered primarily for the head-butt he gave Marco Materazzi in the final.  After scoring one of the cheekiest chip penalties in history (seriously, he had the ONIONS to hit a CHIP PENALTY in a WORLD CUP FINAL), he was sent off notoriously in extra time for his conduct, and France later lost the trophy in penalties.  Had he not put his head into Materazzi's chest, his place in history is forever changed, regardless of the final result.  Combined with all that happened before it, Zidane's 2006 World Cup provided every emotion you can think of when the tournament comes to mind.  You had the suspense, when France not making it out of the group was a real possibility.  You had the jaw-dropping amazement induced by his performance against Brazil, the likes of which people will never forget, in addition to the underdog upsetting the perennial favorite.  Lastly, you had the heartbreak, and the forever lingering "what-ifs?" caused by his actions in the final against Italy, as Zidane left the game in shame, instead of victory.


In my mind, he's still the greatest player of all time, despite the popular notions people have about Pele and Maradona.  While all the club accolades are great, what he meant to France is the proving point. His leadership, skill, and ability to inspire those around him is evident from the contrast in how bad France tanked in 2002 without him (as defending champions, with a squad full of talent), and how he led France to the World Cup Final in the two tournaments he was healthy, at the bookends of his career, winning the one on home soil.  But it will always be the performance in 2006 that makes me think about the World Cup more than any other, especially that incredible night in Frankfurt.

Kyle: I agree with my colleagues' selections. I agree with Garrett about Zizou being the best individual performance I remember watching in a World Cup. To me, Zidane's penalty kick was the most memorable World Cup goal I've seen live on television. Maxi Rodriguez's goal against Mexico was fantastic and was devastating as it came in injury time against one of my favorite teams. There is no way I can argue with Tito's selection of what many believe is the best goal ever scored.

Since my colleagues have done such a fine job detailing some of my favorite World Cup moments, I'm going to go off-script. The thing I remember most about watching the World Cups is the Brazil airport commercial for World Cup 1998. Yes, a commercial. I know I've linked to the commercial before, but I have the pulpit so it's time to discuss in detail.

I was amazed by the players' joy generated by messing around with the soccer ball. It was the first time I remembered thinking that kicking a soccer ball can be fun in itself. Soccer shouldn't be all about hard work and tough tackling. Look, the Brazilians have fun playing soccer in an airport after their flight is delayed! It was then I realized that soccer should be fun and not a chore. It's about enjoying either playing or watching the beautiful game.

Also, I loved the music. If you don't like Sergio Mendes and Brasil '66, then don't talk to me. Finally, I want to give a shout out to my mom who had a Sergio Mendes and Brasil '66 album in the house growing up (I'll be claiming it next time I'm in town). The album was a sign from a higher power that the Brazil World Cup commercial was going to have an unnaturally large impact on my life.

In sum, have fun playing and watching soccer. Then drink a caipirinha and listen to the sweet sounds of Sergio. Obrigado, Brasil.

Tito: Note: listen to this song as you're reading my section: Rodrigo - La Mano de Dios... You're know you're a badass when you have a song dedicated to you...

Although I was born in 1985, I have seen so many games that they tally to before I was born. One of my hobbies is to look at old videos and games to see the progression of games. So going through my mental catalog of all the World Cup games that I have seen, one game really stands above the rest. One individual that shows his influence over a game. One individual that embodies leadership, skill, and natural ability. This game has been in the record books as one of the best displays of an individual, and furthermore, has more controversy than a "Jersey Shore Episode." 

At the tender age of 25, Diego Armando Maradona (captain of Argentina) influenced the 1986 World Cup more than any other person, in any World Cup I dare to say. The manner in which Fernando describes Zidane in the '98 WC is the same way that Maradona influenced the '86 WC. Furthermore, Zidane's controversy occurred 8 years later, Maradona was not only larger than life leading Argentina to their second title, but this was the first sighting of "the hand of God."

 

The game that I most remember, and I'm sure for that matter so does anyone watching that WC will remember, is how this diminutive 5'5" legend of the game destroyed the entire country of England in 2 plays. Check em out! "La Mano de Dios (the Hand of God)" is seen by many as cheating; I'll assume those are just the British. Mostly everyone else, sees that as genius. Looking at the video, you can hear the announcer say that England had done a good job in keeping Maradona contained, and the moment those words left the announcers lips, Maradona's change of pace killed 3 defenders, and with his pass (that luckily came back to him considering the defender popped it in the air) ruled out another 3, leaving him to jump and put his fist into the ball... which then goes into the goal. Marvelous! That takes creativity and some large confidence to pull a maneuver like that in the World Cup.


Although "the Hand of God" is a great goal, I think the better goal is the second of that game. When receiving the ball he knows exactly where he wants to go, but leads the lead defender with his body to fake like he will do something else. That sets him up to have an open run down field. From the moment the ball touches his feet, it takes him just under 10 seconds to get the ball into the back of the net. His ball control on a full sprint is incredible. As a kid, the impression that Maradona had on the field stayed with me. Not many people have the impact that Maradona has had on an national team, and that is why the likes of Pele with Brazil, Zidane with France, and even Beckenbauer for Germany has left a resounding impact on the game. These types of legends will never be forgotten. I hope that for this year's WC, we can talk about a player's impact on a team the way that so few have done in the past. 

 

Fernando: I'm going to go ahead and list two games because of the stark contrast that they have regarding my memories of the World Cup.

The first is the France v. Brazil final in the 1998 World Cup. Although I'm a heavy supporter of El Tri, I am proud to be of French heritage and therefore, was excited when Zidane and Co. got to showcase their skills against the all powerful Brazil. The anticipation for this game was beyond belief as this was the first World Cup that I was able to watch in its entirety. The game featured two great styles of play, including a game for the ages by Zidane. He had previously been labeled as a choke artist in his biggest games with Juventus in the Champions League, but he would remove that label once and for all with his performance throughout the World Cup and the Final. However, what stands out the most from this game, is that I was able to tell before the game started that France was going to take the match. This right here is the reason why. Seeing the energy in the crowd made me believe that there was no way that France was going to lose the game. The resulting 3-0 scoreline proved me right.  Thank you Zidane.

The second game that comes to mind is one that caused me so much pain. As a lifelong fan of El Tri, watching Mexico step up in the biggest competitions only to lose has been a lifetime of suffering. There is a saying when it comes to the Mexican National Team in big games: "Jugamos como nunca, y perdimos como siempre!"  (Translation - We played like never before, and we lost like always!) The 2nd round game between Mexico and Argentina in the 2006 World Cup in Germany was a good example of that.  The game went into extra time and Argentina won the game with a score of 2-1.  This game made me experience a range of emotions. Starting with an excitement that this would be the first time I witnessed Mexico qualify to the quarterfinals, to a "we got this" feeling, followed by anxiousness as El Tri went into extra time, and finishing with complete disbelief at the game I was seeing. This moment right here caused me the most pain. At the time I was in a state of shock. I couldn't believe what I was watching and when the game ended I remember walking around the streets of Brussels wondering if I had really just finished watching that game.

I look back at these games now and realize that it displays both the beauty of football, and the agony of it as well.  One second you're in a state of euphoria, while all the while expecting the worst.  Simply put, its like striking the ball perfect and away from the keeper, only to see it go off the post.


We hope you enjoyed this week's post, and stay tuned for another edition of Off The Post!

Thursday, February 6, 2014

Countdown To Brazil: Off The Post

125 Days Away From The World's Greatest Sporting Event



Welcome to the first edition of Off The Post, our weekly piece covering news and issues relating to the upcoming 2014 FIFA World Cup.  Football here in the United States just ended, but that only means that the world's football is heating up.  As we get closer to June, we will be ratcheting up the coverage beyond this weekly post, providing breakdowns of teams, groups, matchups, betting odds, and even some off-the-wall topics.  Before this goes any further, I'd like to introduce you to the fantastic writers I've brought in to help cover this mammoth event.

Kyle McLaughlin: Sadly, he's a Barcelona supporter, but that is the only poor thing I can say about this guy relating to the field of soccer.  When he's not working in the legal profession, you're sure to find him watching a game taking place across the pond, looking for the next up-and-coming talent.  If you have any doubt as to this man's dedication to the game or his intelligence, you only need to know that while watching the 2010 World Cup, he also passed the state bar exam.  Outside of work and soccer, Kyle is a fan of the finer things in life: Lone Star beer and great local eateries that most people have never heard about. 

Tito Moreira:  He's well on his way toward becoming a professor in academia, but Tito has already earned his stripes when it comes to knowledge of the world's game.  Born in Los Angeles, Tito has been playing the game since he could stand upright, and even played for the Nicaraguan national team before deciding to focus on his studies.  Like Kyle, he's well versed in the European leagues, but can also provide great insights into Central and South American teams, given his roots.  Don't let the fact that he's a Manchester City supporter turn you away, because despite this substantial character flaw, he truly knows the ins and outs of the game.

Now that you've got the background on the new team members of Rushing The Field, let's get into this week's topics.

1. Does Colombia have any chance of hoisting the trophy if Falcao misses the tournament?  Do you think there is any chance that he is able to lace up the boots and give it a go? 



Garrett: I see no chance of Falcao making it back in time for the tournament, and as a result see Colombia's chances of hoisting the trophy squashed.  He was integral in Colombia getting to Brazil, as he scored nine goals in CONMEBOL qualifying.  Jackson Martinez can provide some firepower up top and hope to fill Falcao's shoes, but you need everything to go right, plus a little luck to win a World Cup.  They are still more than capable of making it out of their group, and maybe winning a knockout game, but winning it all is off the table without Falcao.  If Falcao were to prove me wrong and lace up the boots this summer, I would probably deem it to be a more impressive comeback than Adrian Peterson's.

Kyle: I think it would have been unlikely for Colombia to win the World Cup with Falcao, and it will be even harder without him.  Colombia received more attention than usual from the international media after finishing second in the always difficult CONMEBOL (South America) region.  However, they finished second without having to play Brazil in qualifying, who was excluded from the qualification process due to their World Cup inclusion as the host nation. That being said, Colombia would have likely finished third in CONMEBOL qualifying if Brazil had competed.  It is hard to imagine the third place team from South America as a favorite to win the World Cup, but it could happen.  The international media doesn't give enough attention to international sides that aren't named "Brazil" or "Argentina."  Colombia's recent win against a strong Belgium team in Belgium was an indication of their side's quality.

Currently, Falcao is being given a 50% chance of being fit for the World Cup.  However, even if he does return in time, he will not have played competitive soccer for over five months. Jose Pekerman, the Colombia manager, must then decide what he will do with or without Falcao. One option will be to insert another forward and continue to play with two forwards. Another option would be to only place one player up top and instead go with five players in the midfield.

Personally, I'm cheering for Colombia to make it out of their group, and I think they will progress with or without Falcao.  I grew up watching Colombian players do this at Wembley, dominate the midfield with style, and play beautiful soccer during a difficult time for their country.  Do yourself a favor and watch the ESPN 30 For 30 documentary The Two Escobars on Netflix.

Tito:  Falcao's quality is undeniable, hence the high priced summer move.  The belief that he gives teammates equals that of the skill he displays on the pitch.  I dare to say that he is among the best true forwards in the current game.  I say true forwards because his role is not one of creator, or having that "gambete" that may South Americans possess.  His domain is within that chalked 18-yard box, and in that box he is lethal.  Watching Falcao lead Colombia to second place in the always intense CONMEBOL gave me a nostalgic sensation.  If you were a fan of soccer in the 90's, you know watching Colombia's "Golden Era" was a joy.  With the likes of Asprilla dribbling toward goal, Perea being the stronghold of the defense, and of course the notorious "El Pibe" Valderamma spraying balls left and right, Colombia always had impressive showings...however, the belief that they would hold the trophy at the end of the World Cup was unlikely.  Considering this year's Colombia isn't as dominating as the Colombia from the 90's, the chances of them winning the World Cup would have been bleak even with Falcao leading the way.  

This year's Colombia reminded me of Uruguay four years ago.  They are a strong team revolving around a couple of stellar players.  If you remember, Uruguay made it to the semi-finals being spear-headed by Forlan and Suarez.  I figure that Colombia, at its best, would be following a similar course.  The fact that the World Cup will be held in South America does pose as an advantage for the Colombians, or any South American team for that matter, but many teams have more balanced squads.

2. Will the USMNT's recent trip to Brazil give them any sort of advantage over their group opponents?



Garrett: Believe it or not, I think this early journey down south will give the USMNT a slight advantage over their opponents.  Though many of the big names were missing, and only a few potential starters made the trip, getting the lay of the land should provide the coaches with some valuable insights to help them in June.  I'm not saying this trip will provide any dramatic advantages to Klinsmann and his squad, but becoming acquainted with the surrounding environments in each city could provide a slight advantage.  Increasing a player's comfort level with the stadiums, hotel, or practice pitches may not seem like much, but it very well could prove to be the difference when you consider that none of their group opponents have made a similar trip to Brazil.  


Kyle: I believe the recent trip to Brazil will give the U.S. a slight edge over their group opponents, but only because it may improve the logistical aspects of their World Cup trip.  None of their group opponents (Germany, Ghana, and Cristiano Ronaldo) qualified for the Confederations Cup in 2013.  The teams that participated in the Confederations Cup have an advantage over non-participating teams, as they familiarized themselves with Brazil and the logistical problems in a tournament setting, whereas the U.S. only played two friendly games against Sao Paulo FC.  

The U.S. took mostly fringe players to participate in the training sessions in Brazil, and those players will be more familiar with the training facilities, team hotels, and climate. However,  not many of the players who made the trip are projected to be starters in this summer's tournament. Therefore, any advantage gained will be limited to logistics.  I'm sure the other group teams will send representatives to Brazil in advance to try to minimize logistical problems, but it will not be as realistic as actually taking a full team to Brazil ahead of time.

The U.S chose Sao Paulo, which is located in southern Brazil, as their home base prior to the World Cup draw.  Unfortunately for the U.S., all three of their group games are located in the northern cities of Manaus, Recife, and Natal.  It has been reported that the U.S. will now be forced to travel approximately 9,000 miles for their group games, making the task of advancing out of the Group of Death even more daunting.  

Tito:  The United States just went to Brazil to play a few games and get the group together again.  The showing went well, and many American fans were able to nod their head in approval to many of the players that were introduced.  On that note, since there were many players introduced, the benefit that the USMNT will obtain from going to Brazil will be limited. Getting the opportunity for players to continue to compete for spots on the squad and coalesce with one another will always play as an advantage.  The benefits that come with taking the trip will come into mental play.  For many, this trip meant that they were able to breathe the air that they plan on breathing this coming summer.  The experience mentally brings the tournament closer, and having that familiarity with the roads and buildings will ultimately reduce the shock effect of being in Brazil.  Also, this recent trip allows for the team to gather an understanding for what to expect in terms of flight lengths and delays, and become mentally accepting of possible nuances that may occur during the actual tournament.  

However, I don't really believe that this trip provides any physical advantages, as the games would have been played with the same physical exertion had they been played elsewhere. So I think saying this trip will give the red, white, and blue any physical advantage over the other teams in the group is a bit far-fetched.  Every team will have its own particular way of preparing.

3. Outside of Ronaldo and Messi, which player means the most to his country's success this summer?



Garrett:  Call me a homer for this one, but I have to take Michael Bradley.  The man is the engine of the USMNT midfield, and the drop off in quality when he is not on the field is immediately visible.  While Jermaine Jones can be replaced as the mercenary of the two holding midfielders by a host of potential candidates, the subs that can effectively replace Bradley against top-notch opposition equal the amount of World Cups the United States has won.  No, women's World Cups do not count.  Bradley distributes the ball well and is tireless in his efforts at winning the ball back, making him a true box-to-box player.  He's tenacious, yet also possesses a keen eye for providing passes to his attackers that put them in great positions.  It will be absolutely critical for Bradley to get tons of minutes in the coming months with his new club Toronto FC, so that he can be in top form and shape when June rolls around.  


Andrea Pirlo of Italy was a very close second, especially when you consider how good he is at pulling the strings for the Azzurri, but the lack of any quality replacement for Bradley is the difference in my mind.



Kyle: Why always Mario?  Mario Balotelli is the mercurial Italian forward who currently plays for AC Milan. He is one of the most talented players in soccer today possessing strength, speed, and a powerful shot. Balotelli was instrumental in Italy's run to the Euro 2012 finals and played well in the 2013 Confederations Cup before he was injured.

Italy is known for playing lock-down defense. The key for Italy will be scoring goals, and that is Super Mario's strength. The Azzurri will be even more reliant on Balotelli because Giuseppe Rossi, who plays as the second forward for Italy, suffered a knee injury and is expected to be out for two more months. Rossi's lack of match fitness prior to the World Cup may result in Italy playing with only one forward, which will place the goal scoring burden squarely on Balotelli's shoulders.


Balotelli's talent is undeniable, but he has trouble staying focused on soccer. Super Mario has a history of off-the-field problems. He threw darts at Manchester City youth team players because he was bored. He started a fire in his bathroom with a firecracker. Oh, and he illegally parked his Maserati so often that he amassed fines of over 10,000 pounds. Here is a link to an article with more of Mario's high jinks. YOLO, Mario.


If Balotelli can score goals and Italy play their usual tough defense, this team will be a threat in the World Cup.

Tito: This 27 year old comes in weighing 179 pounds, and standing a solid 5'11''.  In this season alone, he currently has 23 goals and 7 assists in only 19 games; he tops the charts in the EPL.  I'm sure by now you've guessed it...his reputation precedes him...he intentionally uses his hands to block goals, and when he is angry he is known to take a few bites out of crime...The always controversial scoring machine...The flyin' Uruguayan LUIIIIISSSS SUUUUUARRREZZZ!  



Luis Suarez has 79 caps with the Men's National Side, and in those 79 games he has scored 39 goals (.69 goals/game).  He is currently the highest scoring Uruguayan of all time, beating the infamous Diego Forlan who has 36 goals in 107 games.  Based on goals alone one can see the influence this man has on his team.  


I want to take you back to the 2010 World Cup in South Africa.  Luis Suarez had just come off an outstanding season with 49 goals in 48 games at Ajax.  He takes the field with "la Celeste" and scores the goal against Mexico to take Uruguay to the top of the group.  There were four goals and Suarez gets one of those.  That leaves Uruguay facing South Korea in the Round of 16.  Uruguay defeats the Koreans 2-1, with Suarez scoring both goals in the 8th and 80th minute.  La Celeste then takes on Ghana and this is where Suarez infamy really explodes.  The game is tied 1-1, an din the 120th minute (that's right, after a full 90 and at the end of second period of extra time), a Ghanaian takes a shot that is surely going in and Luis Suarez comes to Uruguay's rescue.  Granted, he now thinks he is the "new Hand of God."  This man literally jumps and swats the ball out of the goal and sacrifices himself to deny the goal.  He immediately gets sent off, bringing tears to his eyes.  The pressure builds around the stadium as the Ghanaian steps up to take the penalty kick, and low and behold, he misses to give life to the Uruguayans.  Suarez is seen as a savior in his home country, and the controversy swirls around World Cup as Uruguay ends up defeating Ghana in penalty kicks to advance to the semi-finals.  Uruguay ends up losing to the Dutch in the semis, but the thought of how the game would have turned out had Suarez played still sits in the back of peoples' minds.  


The 2013 Confederations Cup went relatively well for Uruguay as well.  The Sky Blues, just like the 2010 World Cup, took 4th place behind Brazil, Spain, and Italy (which still isn't too bad considering the caliber of those teams).  The role that Suarez had on his team was not as potent as in the past, but he was effective none the less, scoring 3 goals out of Uruguay's 15.  His efforts are typically tallied by goals, but his movement off the ball and the space he creates are top shelf.  This allows for Edison Cavani to find ample space, and net many balls.  


As always, qualifying for the 2014 World Cup was incredibly difficult in the CONMEBOL. Uruguay only qualified by beating an incredibly sub-par Jordan in a playoff.  However, if it wasn't for Luis Suarez, Uruguay would not have made the World Cup.  In the 16 games that each country had to play, Uruguay scored 25 times, and of those 25, Suarez slotted 11. That puts Suarez at 44% of the goals scored for Uruguay and at .69 goals per game.  Also, something worth noting is that Suarez scores goals in very clutch situations.  In many instances he'll be the only player scoring, and if there are multiple scorers, more often than not he is the first to score which acts as a catalyst for better play and team morale on the pitch.  During the qualifiers, Suarez's 11 goals put him on the top of the scoring list for CONMEBOL (Messi came in second with 10 goals while Higuain and Falcao each notched 9).  These are impressive numbers for Suarez, and if his current from transfers to the World Cup, I do see Uruguay being a force in Brazil.  Being placed with Italy, England, and Costa Rica in Group D will make advancing difficult, but the ability for Suarez to score goals and tear apart defenses will put them in contention to make it to the knockout rounds.  I see Suarez really showcasing his level of play at this World Cup...all he needs to do is make sure he has his "Hannibal Lecter" mask on to prevent his biting antics. 


4. Given the current odds of winning the World Cup listed by the bookmakers, which team currently provides the best value?




Garrett:  The days of Zidane (sadly) are long gone, but France provides incredible value at 20-1 to lift the trophy.  France is the favorite to win their group, and should they be able to accomplish that task, they will be rewarded with a fairly easy Round Of 16 matchup against Nigeria or Bosnia-Herzegovina.  After that, they'd likely face familiar European foe Germany, a difficult opponent to overcome, but one they will not be intimidated by.  They've got talent everywhere, and the only reason they were forced into the UEFA playoff was because they were grouped with Spain.

Speaking of talent, if you haven't done so already, check out Paul Pogba of Juventus. (If you've never seen a soccer highlight video, it's a well known fact that 93% of them will contain electronic house music. Deal with it.)  At only twenty years old, he is one of the brightest and youngest stars in the game.  He is the definition of a complete midfielder: he is a physical, imposing presence; he supplies deft, creative passes; and he can fire absolute lasers into the top corner of the net from distance.  If Benzema and Ribery can stay out of prison for their prostitute problems, this trio of French stars could easily find themselves still in the tournament in early July.

For those of you who think that little scandal in France will damper their chances this coming summer, don't forget what happened the last time a soccer power was rocked by bad press before a World Cup.  In 2006, Italy won the Wold Cup despite a humongous match-fixing scandal being uncovered in their domestic league just before the tournament.  Additionally, France has a unique trend going over the last four World Cups....after winning it all in 1998, they crashed out of the tournament in the group stage in 2002.  They then made it to the final in 2006, where they lost to Italy.  Finally, they notoriously went up in flames in South Arica in 2010, making complete fools out of themselves while exiting in the group stage.  Given that trend, and how things went in South Africa, that can mean only one thing for France in Brazil this summer...

Kyle: I like Spain at 7-1. After all, they are the reigning World Cup champions and won the past two Euro Cups in 2008 and 2012. Currently, they are the fourth favorite to win the World Cup behind Brazil, Argentina, and Germany.



Why Spain Will Win

I believe Spain's participation at last year's Confederations Cup in Brazil will help the team understand the climate, logistics, and atmosphere of playing in the upcoming World Cup. La Furia Roja spent over two weeks in Brazil playing difficult games at various World Cup venues and traveling across the country. Argentina and Germany did not qualify for the Confederations Cup and were unable to experience Brazil in a tournament setting.


Spain's possession based game will be well-suited to the hot and humid climate of Brazil. There is a prevailing thought that European teams will suffer in Brazil because they are not accustomed to the heat and humidity. I believe Spain's style of play will help them in Brazil. Spain's magicians will hold on to the ball and force the opposing team to chase shadows. As the game progresses, the opposing team will suffer from running more than the Spanish team which will open up holes for Spain to exploit.



Why Spain Will Not Win

Some people claim tiki-taka, the possession based soccer played by Spain and Barcelona, is losing effectiveness. As evidence, people point to Spain's second place finish in the 2013 Confederations Cup and Barcelona's heavy defeat in the Champions League semifinals to Bayern Munich. Wrong link? Ok, try this one. Both losses were deep into difficult tournaments to very talented teams. Brazil and Bayern Munich demonstrated that tiki-taka can be defeated, but I don't believe those losses were the death knell for possession based soccer.


Another argument against Spain winning is that a European team has never won a World Cup in the Americas. I don't believe this is a very strong argument. The last World Cup in the Americas was the U.S. in 1994. Brazil won that World Cup, but three of the top four teams were European.


Mexico '86 was the next most recent World Cup in the Americas. An Argentina squad led by Diego Armando Maradona won the tournament. Again, three of the four teams in the semifinals were European. In Argentina '78, Argentina won and two European teams finished in the top four. In Mexico '70, Brazil won and two European teams finished in the top four.


Although the European teams did not win a World Cup in the Americas, they did manage to advance far in the tournaments. It should be noted that there were more European teams in the World Cup tournaments than North and South American teams.


Another reason to discount the historical argument that European teams cannot win in the Americas is soccer has become more of a global game. Players from all over the world play in the elite European leagues. The international teams of Africa and Asia are much stronger than they were 20 years ago. South American players are moving to Europe in greater numbers and are not as accustomed to playing in South America as earlier generations. For example, Lionel Messi, Dani Alves, Sergio Aguero, Gonzalo Higuain, and Marcelo moved to Europe at an early age.


Spain is in a difficult group and may end up playing Brazil in the second round if they do not win their group. However, I believe Spain will finish first and will most likely play Mexico in the Round of 16. At 7-1, I like the reigning champs.


Tito: Looking at the odds, Brazil being 3:1 and Argentina being 9:2 makes it difficult to say that they provide the best value.  The bracket shows that Brazil will face their first real challenge in the quarter-finals against either Spain or Netherlands (7:1 and 25:1, respectively) depending on who comes out second in that group.  If Brazil comes out of that clash, they will face Germany (11:2) who has a relatively easy setup until the semis.  On the other side of the bracket, Argentina has a clear shot to the quarters where it will be either Spain or Netherlands depending on their placement out of the group.  I think Italy and Colombia are a bit too much of a long shot at 22:1.  Thus, I will have to say that the best value lies with Germany.  The chances of them making it to the final are very high, and their payout is 11:6 when juxtaposes to Brazil.  While Spain to Argentina would be 14:9 and Netherlands to Argentina would be 50:9...I think, although my heart is with a South American team, the "best" value would have to be on Germany given the setup of the bracket.


5. What does Juan Mata's transfer do for both Manchester United, and his chances of making Vicente Del Bosque's final 23-man roster? 



Garrett:  This transfer was truly a win for every party involved.  Mata is finally going to get the minutes he was lacking at Chelsea, Manchester United got a great playmaker who can create the attacking chances they sorely needed, and Spain will have another fully fit and in-form midfielder to add to their ranks.  Most importantly, the move eases the pain that David Moyes has caused me so far this season.  I never thought I'd see the day where I would know what it felt like to be a Gooners fan the past few years, but that day came pretty early this year.  Let me tell you, it is the worst.   All jokes aside about Arsenal's inability to hold something silver in their hands, it was unlikely that Mata would ever be left out of Del Bosque's final roster, but you never know what might have happened if he would have been left to rot on Mourinho's bench.  The move very well could help land the new Mancunian man a starting spot in Spain's loaded midfield at the World Cup.

Kyle: I like Juan Mata. I think he is a very skilled player that did not fit into Jose Mourinho's plans at Chelsea. "Johnny Kills" has excellent skills and is able to see and execute defense splitting passes. I think his creativity will help United maintain possession and put pressure on opposing defenses. I expect United to make a run and challenge for a top four place in the Premier League.

Mata was named Chelsea Player of the Year for the past two seasons, yet it was still difficult for him to find playing time for Spain. Mata was on the Spanish team at the 2013 Confederations Cup but did not see significant playing time due to competition for midfield spots. Spain has a glut of talented midfield players such as Xavi, Iniesta, Fabergas, Busquets, David Silva, Thiago, Cazorla, and Xabi Alonso.

I think Juan Mata will see significant playing time at Manchester United and will make, but not start, for the Spanish team. Del Bosque, the Spanish coach, has alternated between the "double pivot" five man midfield where there are two defensive midfielders (see the 2010 World Cup and 2012 Euro Cup with Busquets and Xabi Alonso) and the "single pivot" with one defensive midfielder (see the 2013 Confederations Cup with Busquets). The change in formation may have been due to Xabi Alonso's injury prior to the 2013 Confederations Cup. I believe Del Bosque will decide on two defensive midfielders, and it will be very hard for Juan Mata to crack the starting lineup since he will be competing to play one of the three remaining "attacking" midfielder spots. Andres Iniesta is a lock to start and I would be surprised if Xavi doesn't start. That would leave some very talented players competing for one midfield position.

Tito: "El Gran" Juan...The 25 year old is among the best creative midfielders in the world. His talent is undeniable and he is clearly being integrated into the Spanish national team. By the time he had his 2010 World Cup call up to La Furia Roja, he had 10 caps. He was included in the 2010 World Cup, 2012 Euro Cup, and 2013 Confederations Cup. I'm saying that all signs lead to a most definite call up for the 2014 World Cup considering that since the 2010 World Cup, he has tripled his caps to 30.

The midfield of Spain is incredibly talented, but with the likes of Xavi Hernandez (34 years old) reaching the twilight of his career, and Andres Iniesta at 29 years old, the midfield will need younger players to begin to infiltrate the ranks. People like Cesc Fabregas, Santi Cazorla, David Silva, and Juan Mata will need to try to continue this Golden Era of Spanish football. Of those four players just mentioned, only David Silva (Manchester City) is getting regular playing time. Cesc is getting varied time at Barcelona, and Cazorla is not playing regularly at Arsenal. Don't get me wrong, both Cesc and Cazorla are playing, just not the time needed to be in tip-top shape. Despite Juan Mata's skill, he was finding it difficult to get any playing regular playing time under Mourinho's thumb at Chelsea. The transfer to United will give Mata much more regular playing time, as Moyes is in much need of that creative center mid. He will be able to work with Van Persie and Rooney, which will take Mata's game to a higher level.  I predict Mata will not only make the 23-man squad, but I also see Mata making an impact on the pitch in Brazil come this summer.